Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 177.473691 211.872550 254.643353 313.052672 392.965293 5.021106e+02 669.611413
2024-12-22 128.632126 165.402592 216.761701 297.681993 430.660202 6.605185e+02 1150.040534
2024-12-29 111.147336 150.397363 209.948305 314.625801 515.286163 9.495812e+02 2304.229395
2025-01-05 94.180605 131.283493 190.426919 301.786195 538.618695 1.145517e+03 3835.892169
2025-01-12 84.496809 121.056207 182.097876 305.000499 595.988150 1.499941e+03 8152.629382
2025-01-19 75.675390 110.558856 170.791585 298.310423 626.909097 1.833901e+03 17960.186491
2025-01-26 73.268648 110.185210 177.230541 330.730553 785.873523 3.079913e+03 302668.339197
2025-02-02 72.918991 113.193734 190.592602 384.855248 1074.261720 6.835300e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 67.548759 106.296004 182.620038 382.331527 1155.959929 9.950565e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 63.698505 101.720085 178.654819 389.541379 1295.044780 1.730657e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 60.477158 97.930057 175.691155 398.808555 1465.204047 3.601040e+04 NaN
2025-03-02 57.613150 94.490206 172.902584 407.856201 1658.639156 1.004781e+05 NaN
2025-03-09 54.129020 89.929181 167.928282 412.497720 1880.612984 8.089603e+05 NaN
2025-03-16 49.574868 82.807942 155.959199 389.828910 1871.476537 8.569375e+06 NaN
2025-03-23 47.825235 81.215153 157.074599 414.965374 2374.102977 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 44.393752 75.727220 147.535178 395.892584 2387.874651 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 42.294921 72.852841 144.221628 400.653394 2734.102200 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 39.872581 69.050869 137.918514 390.755034 2871.583562 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 39.624731 69.931135 144.183942 439.096622 4361.942700 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 40.074089 72.408294 155.470780 521.851705 8576.414522 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 38.244036 69.482989 150.636854 517.937369 9870.052995 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 36.903726 67.577132 148.556362 529.134193 12815.213595 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 35.726026 65.946183 147.057618 543.590053 17554.913633 NaN NaN